Numerical simulations of Mediterranean heavy precipitation events with the WRF model: A verification exercise using different approaches

Authors:Cassola, F.Ferrari, F.Mazzino, A.

Source:ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH

Volume:164

DOI:10.1016/j.atmosres.2015.05.010

Published:2015

Document Type:Article

Abstract:An intercomparison of eight different microphysics parameterization schemes available in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model and an analysis of the sensitivity of predicted precipitation to horizontal resolution are presented in this paper. Three different case studies, corresponding to severe rainfall events occurred over the Liguria region (Italy) between October 2010 and November 2011, have been considered. In all the selected cases, the formation of a quasi-stationary mesoscale convective system over the Ligurian Sea interacting with local dynamical effects (orographically-induced low-level wind and temperature gradients) played a crucial role in the generation of severe precipitations. The data set used to evaluate model performances has been extracted from the official regional network, composed of about 150 professional WMO-compliant stations. Two different strategies have been exploited to assess the model skill in forecasting precipitation: a traditional approach, where forecasts and observations are matched on a point-by-point basis, and an object-based method where model success is based on the correct localization and intensity of precipitation patterns. This last method overcomes the known fictitious models performance degradation for increasing spatial resolution. As remarkable results of this analysis, a clear role of horizontal resolution on the model performances accompanied by the identification of a set of best-performing parameterization schemes emerge. The outcomes presented here offer important suggestions for operational weather prediction systems under potentially dangerous heavy precipitations triggered by the mechanisms discussed throughout the paper. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Author Information

Corresponding Author:

Reprint Address:Cassola, F (corresponding author), Univ Genoa, DIFI, Via Dodecaneso 3, I-16146 Genoa, Italy.

Addresses:[Cassola, F.] Univ Genoa, DIFI, I-16146 Genoa, Italy. [Ferrari, F.; Mazzino, A.] Univ Genoa, DICCA, I-16145 Genoa, Italy. [Cassola, F.; Ferrari, F.; Mazzino, A.] INFN, Genova Sect, I-16146 Genoa, Italy. [Cassola, F.; Mazzino, A.] CINFAI Consortium, Genova Sect, I-16146 Genoa, Italy.

E-mail Addresses:cassola@fisica.unige.it

Note
The information comes from publicly available information on the Internet.
This service only provides full-text access links. And the specific full-text access permissions depend on whether articles are OA resources or user IP permissions.